Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000096 0.000101 0.000107 0.000113 0.000120 0.000127 0.000136
2025-01-19 0.000086 0.000093 0.000101 0.000110 0.000121 0.000133 0.000148
2025-01-26 0.000078 0.000085 0.000094 0.000105 0.000118 0.000134 0.000154
2025-02-02 0.000074 0.000083 0.000093 0.000106 0.000122 0.000141 0.000167
2025-02-09 0.000072 0.000082 0.000093 0.000108 0.000127 0.000151 0.000184
2025-02-16 0.000071 0.000081 0.000093 0.000110 0.000131 0.000160 0.000202
2025-02-23 0.000071 0.000082 0.000096 0.000115 0.000141 0.000176 0.000232
2025-03-02 0.000067 0.000079 0.000093 0.000112 0.000139 0.000176 0.000237
2025-03-09 0.000064 0.000075 0.000089 0.000108 0.000135 0.000174 0.000238
2025-03-16 0.000062 0.000073 0.000088 0.000108 0.000137 0.000179 0.000251
2025-03-23 0.000061 0.000073 0.000088 0.000110 0.000141 0.000189 0.000275
2025-03-30 0.000060 0.000071 0.000086 0.000108 0.000141 0.000191 0.000284
2025-04-06 0.000057 0.000068 0.000083 0.000105 0.000138 0.000189 0.000287
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000066 0.000080 0.000102 0.000135 0.000189 0.000294
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000062 0.000077 0.000098 0.000130 0.000183 0.000289
2025-04-27 0.000051 0.000062 0.000076 0.000098 0.000133 0.000191 0.000313
2025-05-04 0.000050 0.000061 0.000077 0.000100 0.000138 0.000203 0.000349
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000061 0.000077 0.000102 0.000142 0.000215 0.000388
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000062 0.000079 0.000106 0.000153 0.000240 0.000466
2025-05-25 0.000048 0.000060 0.000077 0.000104 0.000150 0.000237 0.000472
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000058 0.000074 0.000100 0.000145 0.000232 0.000466
2025-06-08 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000100 0.000146 0.000238 0.000499
2025-06-15 0.000045 0.000057 0.000074 0.000102 0.000152 0.000253 0.000566